HHY WILD card round picks

Season: 120-125-11

Seattle (-4) vs. Washington: I really hate this game. Part of me wants to take Seattle because they are so tough at home, they’re rested, and there is no way I should bet on Todd Collins on the road in the postseason. On the other hand, the Redskins might be the hottest team in the NFL and have the whole Sean Taylor thing going on. In the end, I’ll take the cowards way out: choose Seattle to win the game but not cover the spread. I think Hassellbeck will do just enough to win this game despite having no help from the running game. Seattle 20, Washington 17.

Jacksonville (Pk) vs. Pittsburgh: It scares me that everyone is so sure of next week’s great New England-Jacksonville matchup. I know the Jags are one of the best teams in the league and are “made for January football”, but this is still the Steelers at home in the postseason. The injury to Willie Parker is not quite as huge in this game, I think, because the Jags stop the run really well and the Steelers would have used the pass anyway. Big Ben is having a terrific year, and I think he leads the Steelers to a rare surprising home win. Pittsburgh 24, Jacksonville 20.

Tampa Bay (-2.5) vs. NY Giants: I was really close to taking the Giants here. Eli looked awesome last week and always plays better on the road. Plaxico is running as well as he did in Week 1. Brandon Jacobs is strong. The Giants’ pass rush is fantastic. But Jon Gruden has been resting his regulars and preparing for the Giants for three weeks. Gruden against Tom Coughlin? Please. I also love Jeff Garcia and Earnest Graham. Finally, I think this may be the first time in NFL history that a team has a letdown for its first playoff game after a Week 17 battle. Tampa Bay 27, NY Giants 13.

San Diego (-9.5) vs Tennessee: This game makes me nauseus. If you have read my NFL reviews of each week, you know my disdain for the Titans. They are so fucking boring its ridiculous. But, I do get to watch LT here. As much as I hate to watch the Titans, I love Jeff Fisher and I think they are a great bet this week. The Titans are strong against the run, and if they can shut down LT and make Philip Rivers beat them, they have a chance to pull a huge upset. Plus, the Chargers are coached by Norv. However, I think this will be that late Sunday game that makes you sleepy, with very low scoring and some bad, bad quarterback play. San Diego 16, Tennessee 13.

HHY picks, week 17

Since this week’s games is a complete pile of shit, I’m really glad I’ll be extending the picks section to the playoffs. 

Season: 113-116-11

New England (-14.5) over NY Giants
San Francisco (+11.5) over Cleveland
Miami (+3) over Cincinnati
Seattle (+2) over Atlanta
Green Bay (-3) over Detroit
Buffalo (+7.5) over Philadelphia
Carolina (-3) over Tampa Bay
Houston (-6.5) over Jacksonville
New Orleans (-3) over Chicago
Washington (-8) over Dallas
Kansas City (+6.5) over NY Jets
Minnesota (-3) over Denver
Pittsburgh (-3.5) over Baltimore
San Diego (-8) over Oakland
St. Louis (+6) over Arizona
Tennessee (-4) over Indianapolis

HHY Week 15 picks

Season: 98-99-11

Denver (Pk) over Houston
Tennessee (-4) over Kansas City
Cincinnati (-8) over San Francisco
Tampa Bay (-13.5) over Atlanta
Seattle (-7.5) over Carolina
Green Bay (-10) over St. Louis
Baltimore (-3.5) over Miami
New England (-23.5) over NY Jets
Arizona (+3.5) over New Orleans
Jacksonville (+3.5) over Pittsburgh
Indianapolis (-10.5) over Oakland
San Diego (-10) over Detroit
Philadelphia (+10.5) over Dallas
NY Giants (-4.5) over Washington
Chicago (+10) over Minnesota

HHY Week 14 picks

I’ve had three straight poor weeks, dipping me below .500 for the first time.

Season: 89-92-11

Chicago (+3) over Washington
Dallas (-10.5) over Detroit
Jacksonville (-10.5) over Carolina
San Diego (pk) over Tennessee
Green Bay (-10) over Oakland
NY Giants (+3) over Philadelphia
Cincinnati (-6) over St. Louis
Tampa Bay (-3) over Houston
Buffalo (-7) over Miami
Minnesota (-7) over San Francisco
Arizona (+6.5) over Seattle
Cleveland (-3.5) over NY Jets
Kansas City (+6.5) over Denver
Pittsburgh (+13) over New England
Indianapolis (-9.5) over Baltimore
Atlanta (+5) over New Orleans

hhy’s week 13 picks

I’m just holding on to .500 after a tough 6-10 week.

Season: 83-82-11

Dallas (-6.5) over Green Bay
Kansas City (+3) over San Diego
San Francisco (+3) over Carolina
Miami (-2) over NY Jets
Washington (-5) over Buffalo
Atlanta (+4) over St. Louis
Houston (+3.5) over Tennessee
Philadelphia (-3) over Seattle
Minnesota (-3) over Detroit
Jacksonville (+7) over Indianapolis
Oakland (+3) over Denver
Cleveland (+1) over Arizona
Tampa Bay (+3) over New Orleans
NY Giants (-1) over Chicago
Cincinnati (+8.5) over Pittsburgh
New England (-20) over Baltimore

There might be a couple pushes this week; a lot of 3-5 point spreads.

Week 12 picks for HHY

Season: 77-72-11

Green Bay (-3) over Detroit
Dallas (-14) over NY Jets
Atlanta (+12) over Indianapolis
Buffalo (+7.5) over Jacksonville
Houston (+3.5) over Cleveland
NY Giants (-7.5) over Minnesota
Carolina (+3) over New Orleans
Kansas City (-5.5) over Oakland
Seattle (-3) over St. Louis
Tennessee (-4) over Cincinnati
Tampa Bay (-3) over Washington
Arizona (-10.5) over San Francisco
Chicago (-2) over Denver
Baltimore (+9.5) over San Diego
New England (-22) over Philadelphia
Miami (+16) over Pittsburgh

HHY’s Week 11 picks

I’m putting these up a day early since I’ll be away from a computer for most of the remainder of the week. However, Friday’s hot chick will be put up tomorrow.

After two straight sub-.500 weeks, I’m looking to make mad moves this week. Nothing less than 10 covers.

Season: 69-65-10

Arizona (+3) over Cincinnati
Green Bay (-9.5) over Carolina
Cleveland (-2.5) over Baltimore
Indianapolis (-14.5) over Kansas City
Philadelphia (-10) over Miami
New Orleans (pk) over Houston
Oakland (+5.5) over Minnesota
San Diego (+3) over Jacksonville
Tampa Bay (-3) over Atlanta
Detroit (+3) over NY Giants
Pittsburgh (-9.5) over NY Jets
Washington (+11.5) over Dallas
St. Louis (-2.5) over San Francisco
Seattle (-6) over Chicago
New England (-15.5) over Buffalo
Tennessee (+2.5) over Denver

HHY’s week 10 picks

Somewhat bad week last week, but still over .500.

And to Everyones on Steroids, who started talking smack about his Week 9 picks Monday: Pick against the spread and then talk to me, slappy.

Season: 63-58-9

Cleveland (+9.5) over Pittsburgh
Green Bay (-5.5) over Minnesota
Washington (-3) over Philadelphia
Tennessee (-1.5) over Jacksonville
Carolina (-4) over Atlanta
Kansas City (-1.5) over Denver
Buffalo (-3) over Miami
St. Louis (+11.5) over New Orleans
Baltimore (-4) over Cincinnati
Chicago (-3) over Oakland
Dallas (-1.5) over NY Giants
Detroit (+1) over Arizona
Indianapolis (-3.5) over San Diego
Seattle (-10) over San Francisco

Again, I pick a lot of favorites, but I feel good about it this week.

dont believe the (over)hype (talk)

It became ‘funny’ or ‘clever’ to make the ‘Did you hear the Patriots-Colts are playing’ joke about 10 days ago. Which means it stopped being funny about nine days ago.

Yes, this game has been hyped more than any game this season, by far. Its being televised in about 99 percent of homes in the country. If you enjoy NFL football, you’ll be watching this game. I’d even argue that more people will watch this game than a few playoff games later this season.

But this game deserves the hype. Its impossible to be overhyped. I started thinking about watching this game after the Patriots beat the crap out of Dallas. That was like a month ago. The NFL has been around for about 90 years. NEVER have two undefeated teams played this late in the season. These two teams have combined for four of the last six titles. New England is 8-0 and have scored 34 or more points in every game. They have won every game by a minimum of 17 points. Their quarterback has 30 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Meanwhile, Indianapolis is the defending world champion and 7-0. They haven’t lost a game since just after Thanksgiving, 2006. In the last two weeks, the Colts have outscored Jacksonville and Carolina–two teams who would be in the playoffs if they started today–60-14. Both of those games were road games.

This has never happened before. So how can it be overhyped?

Here’s my preview:

Colts offense vs. Patriots defense: I think the Indianpolis offense gets a small advantage here, but that advantage is minimal, especially since Marvin Harrison is questionable, and if he does play–it will be his first game in almost a month. However, if there are any questions about this New England team, its on the defensive side. They’ve only given up 127 points, but solid offenses (Dallas, Cleveland) have performed relatively well against them. That might be because they really haven’t had to be at their best yet; the offense has been so dominant that the defense, while playing well, has been on cruise control. Mike Vrabel and the defense crushed Washington, but Peyton Manning is better than Jason Campbell. Slight edge–Indianapolis

Patriots offense vs. Colts defense: Let me first say that I greatly respect Dwight Freeney, Robert Mathis, Bob Sanders and the rest of the Colts defense. At this time last year, they were horrid and seen as the achilles heel of the team. An argument could be made now that they are a top-five defensive unit. They’re giving up just over 14 points per game, and since Sanders’ return late last year they have been stellar. But they haven’t seen what they are going to see Sunday. The Patriots’ offense is the best I’ve seen since the 1994 49ers or the 1999 Rams, and by the end of the year, it may be the best of all time. The offensive line has been absolutely dominant, and we all know the passing game, when given time, is literally unstoppable. How different is the New England receiving corps from last year’s AFC runner-up? Last year, the team’s leading receiver had just over 60 catches. He didn’t even make the team this year. Edge–New England

Prediction: Even though they are undefeated and at home, the only chance the Colts have is if they get some pressure on Brady. Freeney and Mathis are a huge key; if they can get to Brady a few times, or at the very least make Brady throw within a second or two of getting the snap, Indy has a chance. But I don’t see it happening.

All year, the Patriots have been running up the score, leaving Brady and the crew in the game up 40 with 8 minutes left, throwing jump balls to Moss late in a dominant win. Outside of maybe the Jets, who do the Patriots hate more than the Colts? No one. The Colts are a great team, and at home, they’ll get a boost. But that boost will disappear as soon as the Pats drive down the field to score their first touchdown. I honestly think the serious talk about New England being the best team of all time starts Sunday night.
New England 45, Indianapolis 21

hhy week 9 picks

Season: 58-49-9, Last Week: 9-4

Kansas City (-1) over Green Bay
Denver (+3.5) over Detroit
Atlanta (-3) over San Francisco
Washington (-3.5) over NY Jets
Carolina (+4) over Tennessee
Jacksonville (+3.5) over New Orleans
San Diego (-7) over Minnesota
Buffalo (-1) over Cincinnati
Tampa Bay (-4) over Arizona
Oakland (-3) over Houston
New England (-5) over Indianapolis
Cleveland (-1) over Seattle
Dallas (-3) over Philadelphia
Baltimore (+9.5) over Pittsburgh

Thats a lot of favorites……ugh. Look out for a 3-11 week.